Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.237478 0.256147 0.276232 0.299558 0.326046 0.355363 0.390505
2026-01-25 0.208224 0.231543 0.257865 0.290095 0.328942 0.374850 0.434138
2026-02-01 0.186840 0.212261 0.241954 0.279754 0.327428 0.386769 0.468283
2026-02-08 0.173150 0.200202 0.232716 0.275502 0.331652 0.404903 0.511545
2026-02-15 0.167146 0.196603 0.233016 0.282559 0.350302 0.443211 0.587474
2026-02-22 0.158594 0.188975 0.227341 0.280914 0.356599 0.464741 0.642126
2026-03-01 0.150689 0.181516 0.221157 0.277756 0.360036 0.482005 0.692524
2026-03-08 0.142769 0.173488 0.213571 0.271859 0.358642 0.491386 0.731003
2026-03-15 0.136373 0.167071 0.207683 0.267773 0.359319 0.503728 0.776465
2026-03-22 0.133524 0.165205 0.207827 0.272255 0.373284 0.539073 0.871558
2026-03-29 0.132838 0.166186 0.211906 0.282734 0.397603 0.595249 1.022549
2026-04-05 0.128250 0.161502 0.207606 0.280095 0.400112 0.612864 1.095979
2026-04-12 0.125568 0.159522 0.207320 0.284006 0.414661 0.656252 1.245970
2026-04-19 0.119644 0.152669 0.199516 0.275454 0.406764 0.655021 1.285381
2026-04-26 0.113891 0.145841 0.191441 0.265973 0.396406 0.647548 1.306705
2026-05-03 0.110003 0.141554 0.186971 0.262072 0.395753 0.659987 1.388185
2026-05-10 0.109040 0.141460 0.188799 0.268623 0.414897 0.717568 1.629293
2026-05-17 0.106170 0.138434 0.185965 0.267109 0.418585 0.741556 1.775631
2026-05-24 0.103151 0.135071 0.182450 0.264189 0.419234 0.758603 1.907100
2026-05-31 0.099726 0.130985 0.177634 0.258727 0.414350 0.761661 1.987740
2026-06-07 0.096868 0.127661 0.173891 0.254940 0.412526 0.772073 2.105698
2026-06-14 0.095911 0.127172 0.174618 0.259095 0.427370 0.827616 2.464293
2026-06-21 0.096145 0.128496 0.178299 0.268800 0.455033 0.924273 3.144069